Thinking ahead starts with rigorous methods.
We design opportunity and risk management to support your decisions. Through rigorous methods and close dialogue, we develop solutions that work in practice and create value.
Six principles that shape our work.
Choose a principle.
Its explanation will appear here.
01
Individual solutions
Every industry and every client is different — and so are our approaches. We do not offer off-the-shelf advisory solutions.
02
Trusting collaboration
Successful projects are built on close partnerships. For more than 25 years, we have worked alongside our clients in close, trusting collaboration.
03
Focused decision support
We stay focused: together, we clarify your challenge, define objectives and concentrate on what supports your decisions and their implementation.
04
Rigorous methods
We combine rigorous quantitative methods with pragmatic implementation. This makes opportunities and risks transparent and provides a sound basis for your decisions.
05
Effective implementation
Theoretical PowerPoint concepts are not our approach. What matters to us is effective and sustainable implementation in practice.
06
Integrated risk management
We believe that effective opportunity and risk management must combine organisation, rigorous methods, processes and (risk) culture.
“The advisory work changed our perspective on risks: what matters is no longer the colour in a risk matrix, but which measures deliver the greatest benefit under uncertainty.”
Risk and specialist areas — one shared commitment
The following project insights illustrate selected assignments from our practice. They are grouped by area of expertise and describe the scope of each project anonymously.
01
Risk analysis & scenario analysis
Understand causes. Identify courses of action.
Our approach
We structure opportunities and risks around your objectives and core processes. Together with your specialist teams, we develop transparent scenarios, analyse causes and effects, and assess possible developments. This turns a collection of individual risks into a basis for concrete decisions.
Methods and services:
Risk assessments, bowtie analyses, qualitative and quantitative scenario analyses, and facilitated expert judgement.
Your benefit:
Transparent scenarios and assessments that reveal critical assumptions and opportunities for action.
Project examples
- Client: Grid operator / energy supply | Scope: Risk assessment based on scenario analysis for an infrastructure project to build high-voltage direct-current transmission lines.
- Client: IT and software service provider | Scope: Facilitation and delivery of risk assessments to quantify risk scenarios.
- Client: Hospital / healthcare | Scope: Facilitation and delivery of risk assessments to quantify risk scenarios.
02
Risk aggregation & stochastic modelling
Understand interactions. Gain an overall perspective.
Our approach
We model how opportunities and risks interact and may affect corporate planning. Stochastic simulations make ranges and dependencies transparent. This enables alternative courses of action and measures to be assessed in their overall context, rather than considering risks in isolation.
Methods and services:
Stochastic scenario simulation, dependency modelling, planning-based aggregation, EBIT at Risk, Cashflow at Risk and dynamic financial analysis.
Your benefit:
A transparent overall risk perspective for assessing measures and the company's room for manoeuvre.
Project examples
- Client: International technology company in the semiconductor sector | Scope: Further development of risk management methods and development of a stochastic aggregation model for EBIT at Risk.
- Client: International telecommunications company | Scope: Development of a stochastic risk aggregation model based on corporate planning.
- Client: Industrial company (hidden champion) | Scope: Structuring and implementation of enterprise risk management, including a stochastic simulation model for risk aggregation.
03
Data analytics & early warning
Put data into context. Recognise change earlier.
Our approach
We combine data analysis with specialist risk expertise. Descriptive analytics describes developments, diagnostic analytics examines relationships, and predictive analytics supports the assessment of possible future developments. What matters is not the volume of data, but its contribution to the decision at hand.
Methods and services:
Empirical analysis, time-series analysis, stochastic processes, and the development of early-warning indicators and audience-specific reporting.
Your benefit:
Transparent analyses and indicators, with clear assumptions, explanatory power and limitations.
Project examples
- Client: International aluminium group | Scope: Scenario analysis using stochastic processes to analyse aluminium prices.
- Client: International automotive group | Scope: Analysis of currency and commodity price risks, including predictive analytics.
- Client: Bank | Scope: Development and implementation of an operational risk management process, including suitable key risk indicators and operational risk reporting.
04
Strategy, risk appetite & control
Weigh up opportunities. Make robust decisions.
Our approach
We connect opportunity and risk management with strategy, planning and value-based management. Which risks fit your objectives? How much uncertainty are you willing and able to accept? Together, we develop a framework that can be used in concrete decisions.
Methods and services:
Risk strategy, definition of risk appetite, strategic scenario analyses, and alignment with value-based corporate management.
Your benefit:
Agreed decision-making guidelines and a clearer connection between objectives, planning and risk-taking.
Project examples
- Client: International sporting goods company | Scope: Support in refining and agreeing a risk strategy, including the definition of risk appetite.
- Client: Health insurer (Switzerland) | Scope: Support in refining and agreeing a risk strategy, including the definition of risk appetite.
- Client: Financial services provider | Scope: Development of a methodology linking value-based management and risk management.
05
Organisation, processes & ERM
Go beyond documentation. Embed effective practice.
Our approach
We develop your enterprise-wide opportunity and risk management so that it becomes effective in decisions and day-to-day processes. The focus is on clear responsibilities, appropriate methods and working interfaces — not the largest possible rulebook.
Methods and services:
Development and refinement of enterprise risk management, maturity development, process design and integration into existing management structures.
Your benefit:
A risk management process suited to your organisation, with clear responsibilities and results that fit into existing workflows.
Project examples
- Client: International technology group | Scope: Development and implementation of a global, integrated risk management process.
- Client: Global domestic appliance manufacturer | Scope: Methodological support in developing enterprise risk management maturity, including a stochastic simulation model for risk aggregation.
- Client: International technology group | Scope: Structuring and implementation of enterprise risk management.
06
Projects, supply chains & operational risks
Understand critical dependencies. Preserve room for manoeuvre.
Our approach
We analyse risks where investments, supply chains and operations intersect. Scenarios make potential interruptions and critical dependencies transparent, allowing measures to target their causes and consequences.
Methods and services:
Project risk management, supply chain risk management, stochastic business interruption analysis and critical infrastructure analysis.
Your benefit:
A structured basis for deciding how to address dependencies and potential business interruptions.
Project examples
- Client: European retail company | Scope: Development and implementation of effective supply chain risk management, including supporting tools.
- Client: International automotive supplier | Scope: Analysis of project risks, including aggregation of project portfolios using stochastic scenario analysis.
- Client: Logistics and mobility company | Scope: Risk management for critical logistics infrastructure.
07
Information security & operational risks
Translate security risks into business impact.
Our approach
We help you assess technical and operational risks in terms of corporate objectives. We connect the perspectives of information security, specialist teams and corporate management. The central question is which effects matter and which measures contribute to a sound decision.
Methods and services:
Refinement of assessment metrics, scenario assessment, alignment of information security and operational risk management, and outsourcing risk management.
Your benefit:
More comparable assessments and a shared decision-making basis across specialist functions.
Project examples
- Client: International automotive group | Scope: Support in transforming risk scenario assessment metrics in information and corporate security towards decision-oriented risk management (“translation into the language of decision-makers”).
- Client: Transport company | Scope: Support in developing the information security risk management approach and its interface with operational risk management.
- Client: Insurance company (Switzerland) | Scope: Implementation of risk management for risk scenarios arising from outsourcing.
08
RMIS & digital implementation
Start with the method. Then choose the right tool.
Our approach
We help you select and define the functional design of tools for opportunity and risk management. Your decisions and processes are the starting point. These determine requirements for data, assessment logic and application, rather than adapting your approach to a software product.
Methods and services:
Selection support for risk management information systems, development of assessment tools and project-specific tool implementation.
Your benefit:
A clear functional requirements framework and tools that support the intended risk management process.
Project examples
- Client: International industrial company | Scope: Support in selecting a risk management information system (RMIS).
- Client: International technology company | Scope: Development of a risk strategy and an assessment tool for implementing regulatory requirements.
- Client: Public sector | Scope: Development and implementation of effective IT risk management, including supporting tools.